Current Investment Comments

May 2008

05/05/2008  Is the easing cycle over?

April 2008

04/28/2008  Will the G-7 rescue the dollar?

04/21/2008  More Problems for Small Caps?

04/14/2008  Looking at Financials

04/08/2008  Building a Base

March 2008

03/24/2008  Commodities- A Correction in the Secular Bull Market

03/17/2008  Extreme Pessimism + Fed Bail Out = Trading Opportunity

03/10/2008  The Stock Market Paradox: Voting Machine versus Weighing Machine

03/3/2008  Earning Expectations Still Too Optimistic

February 2008

02/25/2008  Credit Markets Suggest Further Economic Weakness

02/19/2008  Stocks and High Yield Bonds Offer Reasonable Value but Negative Momentum; Starting to Reduce Our Underweight

02/11/2008  Raising Recession Odds

02/04/2008  Housing Glimmers: The Beginning of the End

January 2008

01/28/2008  Bear Market Bounce or Bull Resumption?

01/22/2008  Stock Breakdown Heralds Bear Market and Raises Recession Fears

 01/14/2008  Fed Pledges "Substantive Additional Action"

 01/07/2008  Stocks Will LIkely Test Bottom of Decision Box   

December 2007

12/24/2007  Outlook 2008: Economic Grocession - Risks and Opportunities

 12/17/2007  Fed Reluctant to Lower Rates Aggressively; Introduces New Tools to Provide Emergency Liquidity

12/10/2007  The Credit Crunch's Silver Lining: Investors Are Finally Getting Paid to Take Risk  

12/04/2007  S&P 500 in a "Decision Box"...Expect Upside Breakout in Late 2008

November 2007

 11/26/2007  Being Right or Making Money

11/19/2007  Recession. . . or "Grocession"

11/12/2007  Stalking the Bear

11/05/2007  The Fed's Dilemma: Why Bernanke's Rebuttal May be Short Lived

October 2007

 10/29/2007  The Fed-fueled Reflation Trade

10/22/2007  A Sudden Change of Mood

10/15/2007  Near-Term Stock Strength Unlikely

10/08/2007  Crowd Sentiment Suggests Stock Gains May Slow

10/01/2007  Raising Stock Weightings In Line with Our "3 Rules"

September 2007

09/24/2007  Setting Policy for "The Weakest Link"

 09/17/2007  Fed To Take a Balanced Approach: We Expect 25bps

09/10/2007  Recession Odds Raised; Small Caps Most Vulnerable

09/04/2007  Bad News: There is a Credit Crunch  Good News: Uncle Ben Gets It

August 2007

08/27/2007  Signs of Stabilization; Consolidation in Progress

08/20/2007  Fed Acts to Stem Fear, But Not to Reignite Greed; Bull Market Intact But Return to Exuberance Unlikely 

08/13/2007  Additional Downside Risk for Stocks But Bull Market Intact

08/06/2007  Stocks Testing Support, Reducing Risk Exposure